Friday
Back | HomeTomorrow (Saturday) unfortunately now looks to be blue for much of the south. Given the expected surface temperatures thermals will reach an inversion at about 4,000 ft, but as gliders can’t climb to the very top of thermals due to their inherent sink rate, climbs will generally feel like they’re topping out at around 3-3,5,000 ft. Cirrus cover will be much less tomorrow so that will at least help boost climb strengths compared to today. Sea breezes will get a long way into East Anglia and some way into the north east coast, but the influx of moister air will help provide moisture for cumulus, although the climbs they mark probably won’t work too well. Should also be some sea breeze lines along the south coast, and near western coasts too.
The north and Wales should see much more cumulus with bases to about 4,000 ft, with a fair chance of going up to 5,000 ft in the afternoon—-probably the best areas in the country.
Winds will be light westerlies in the north, slack in the midlands, and about ten knots from the east in the south (the result of having high pressure smack over the country).
Sunday again looks best over Wales and the West Midlands (basically Shobdon/Mynd territory), and not bad in the north either although some showers may kick off on the eastern slopes of the Pennines. The south looks “low and blue” (how I hate typing that). Probably the hottest day of the day so far.
Monday looks a right mixed bag, rather cloudy in the north but possibly quite good from North Wales to London and southwestwards, possibly booming along the sea breeze on the south coast. Tuesday a bit cloudy and touch damp for most.
Sir:
You sound a bit fed up by the moaning minnies. Please don’t be.
Your site is respected at Nympsfield for the forecasts,the excellent range of links and irreverent style.
Ultimately it is for pilots to check their own weather before flying, as the best NYM pilots do.
Friday was indeed interesting,as highlighted by you, with Andy Davis agreeing with you and setting a 750, a 500 and a 300 for his task week pilots, resulting in 1 750, 9 500s and 2 300s!
Be assured that many of us are very appreciative of the efforts of you, Sid, Dave Masson etc.
Colin McEwen BGGC
Hi, thank your note. It’s appreciated! I do have a thick skin — you need one for weather forecasting, it’s part of the job unfortunately.
It’s nice that you tip the other forecasters too. I always recommend checking their forecasts as well — that’s why I link to them, although Sid is the only person who links to me!